Ray Dalio's All Weather Portfolio

Specification

Policy

Rebalancing Interval	Quarterly
Weights Algorithm	Constant Weights

Assets

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)	40.00%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)	30.00%
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI)	15.00%
SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD)	7.50%
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC)	7.50%

Benchmark

Simple 60/40

Description

Based on an interpretation of Ray Dalio’s All Weather Portfolio by Oddmund Grotto at quantifiedstrategies.com

The construction has a notable U.S. bias in the equity and bond exposures which may impact relative returns within market cycles.

For a more risk-balanced exposure, consider an “equal-risk-weighting” approach rather than a static weight approach as used below.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From 2008-04-01 to 2024-12-19 (16y 8m 18d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio	6.02%
Benchmark	5.95%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio	8.02%
Benchmark	12.13%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio	0.63
Benchmark	0.44

Excess Return (annualized)

0.07%

Tracking Error (annualized)

9.70%

Information Ratio

0.01

Statistic	Portfolio	Benchmark
Downside Volatility	8.38%	12.77%
Sortino Ratio	0.60	0.42
Calmar Ratio	0.22	0.15
Ulcer Index	15.28	15.11
Max Drawdown	22.75%	36.97%
VaR (99% Confidence)	$-1,866	$-2,821
VaR (99.9% Confidence)	$-2,478	$-3,747
Beta to Benchmark	0.40	N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

5.05

Skew

-0.19

Data Table

Factor Coefficients
Factor	Portfolio	Benchmark
Duration Factor	1.0043	1.0043
Market Factor	0.3344	0.3344
Size Factor	-0.0167	-0.0167
Style Factor	0.0092	0.0092
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.)	0.0666	0.0666
Yield Curve Factor	0.1747	0.1747

Adjusted R²

Portfolio	0.93
Benchmark	0.98

Intercept

Portfolio	0.00
Benchmark	0.00