1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Portfolio Specification

Portfolio Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (4m 21d)

Returns

Portfolio 21.20%
Benchmark 14.97%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 18.32%
Benchmark 13.94%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 2.56
Benchmark 2.35

Excess Return

6.24%

Tracking Error (annualized)

7.73%

Information Ratio

2.67
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 18.44% 12.58%
Sortino Ratio 2.54 2.60
Calmar Ratio 5.81 5.33
Ulcer Index 15.62 15.68
Max Drawdown 8.08% 6.15%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-4,240 $-3,226
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-5,632 $-4,285
Beta to Benchmark 1.21 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

1.05

Skew

-0.32
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark Excess
Credit Factor -0.2977 -0.0257 -0.2720
Duration Factor 0.3889 1.0822 -0.6933
Emerging (Developed) Factor 0.1113 0.1566 -0.0453
Inflation Factor 0.0705 0.5590 -0.4885
Market Factor 1.3129 1.0962 0.2167
Size Factor 0.2530 0.0330 0.2200
Style Factor -0.0389 0.0402 -0.0790
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.6896 -0.3884 -0.3012
Yield Curve Factor 0.0173 0.2428 -0.2256

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.76
Benchmark 0.87

Intercept

Portfolio 0.00
Benchmark 0.00

Factor Attribution