1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Portfolio Specification

Portfolio Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (8y 29d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio 12.29%
Benchmark 11.64%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 23.02%
Benchmark 28.30%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 0.52
Benchmark 0.45

Excess Return (annualized)

0.65%

Tracking Error (annualized)

14.51%

Information Ratio

0.04
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 24.51% 30.33%
Sortino Ratio 0.49 0.42
Calmar Ratio 0.30 0.26
Ulcer Index 14.40 14.47
Max Drawdown 40.24% 49.95%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-5,352 $-6,581
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-7,110 $-8,743
Beta to Benchmark 0.70 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

8.24

Skew

-0.49
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark
Credit Factor 0.1528 0.1528
Duration Factor 0.9013 0.9013
Emerging (Developed) Factor -0.0379 -0.0379
Inflation Factor 0.4920 0.4920
Market Factor 1.2367 1.2367
Size Factor 0.1318 0.1318
Style Factor 0.0565 0.0565
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.1715 -0.1715
Yield Curve Factor 0.0096 0.0096

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.92
Benchmark 0.99

Intercept

Portfolio -0.00
Benchmark -0.00

Factor Attribution