1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Portfolio Specification

Portfolio Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (8y 4m 8d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio 13.61%
Benchmark 10.00%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 22.79%
Benchmark 17.99%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 0.57
Benchmark 0.49

Excess Return (annualized)

3.61%

Tracking Error (annualized)

9.22%

Information Ratio

0.39
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 24.24% 19.83%
Sortino Ratio 0.54 0.45
Calmar Ratio 0.32 0.24
Ulcer Index 14.44 14.65
Max Drawdown 40.24% 36.65%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-5,299 $-4,183
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-7,039 $-5,557
Beta to Benchmark 1.17 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

8.33

Skew

-0.49
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark
Credit Factor 0.1573 0.1573
Duration Factor 0.8977 0.8977
Emerging (Developed) Factor -0.0403 -0.0403
Inflation Factor 0.4997 0.4997
Market Factor 1.2334 1.2334
Size Factor 0.1288 0.1288
Style Factor 0.0590 0.0590
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.1832 -0.1832
Yield Curve Factor 0.0053 0.0053

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.92
Benchmark 0.87

Intercept

Portfolio -0.00
Benchmark -0.00

Factor Attribution