1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (9y 1m 20d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 17.33% |
| Benchmark | 13.81% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 22.87% |
| Benchmark | 17.79% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.71 |
| Benchmark | 0.68 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 3.52% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.43% |
Information Ratio
| 0.37 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 24.35% | 19.53% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.53 | 14.74 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,320 | $-4,136 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-7,066 | $-5,494 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.19 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 7.76 |
Skew
| -0.51 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1434 | 0.0117 | 0.1317 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8858 | 1.1744 | -0.2886 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0342 | 0.0360 | -0.0702 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.5126 | 0.6181 | -0.1055 |
| Market Factor | 1.2370 | 0.8534 | 0.3836 |
| Size Factor | 0.1389 | 0.0902 | 0.0486 |
| Style Factor | 0.0549 | 0.0113 | 0.0437 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.2032 | -0.1597 | -0.0434 |
| Yield Curve Factor | 0.0004 | 0.3273 | -0.3269 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.90 |
| Benchmark | 0.86 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | 0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |