1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
---|---|
Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (8y 6m 1d)
Returns (annualized)
Portfolio | 14.91% |
Benchmark | 11.04% |
Risk (annualized)
Portfolio | 22.66% |
Benchmark | 17.90% |
Sharpe (annualized)
Portfolio | 0.62 |
Benchmark | 0.54 |
Excess Return (annualized)
3.87% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
9.16% |
Information Ratio
0.42 |
Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
---|---|---|
Downside Volatility | 24.09% | 19.65% |
Sortino Ratio | 0.59 | 0.49 |
Calmar Ratio | 0.35 | 0.27 |
Ulcer Index | 14.47 | 14.67 |
Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,269 | $-4,162 |
VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-6,999 | $-5,529 |
Beta to Benchmark | 1.17 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
8.40 |
Skew
-0.50 |
Data Table
Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
---|---|---|---|
Credit Factor | 0.1567 | 0.0125 | 0.1442 |
Duration Factor | 0.8971 | 1.1783 | -0.2812 |
Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0388 | 0.0323 | -0.0711 |
Inflation Factor | 0.5008 | 0.5811 | -0.0803 |
Market Factor | 1.2327 | 0.8594 | 0.3732 |
Size Factor | 0.1266 | 0.0906 | 0.0361 |
Style Factor | 0.0579 | 0.0074 | 0.0505 |
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.1837 | -0.1709 | -0.0129 |
Yield Curve Factor | 0.0057 | 0.3296 | -0.3238 |
Adjusted R2
Portfolio | 0.92 |
Benchmark | 0.87 |
Intercept
Portfolio | -0.00 |
Benchmark | -0.00 |