1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (9y 4m 5d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 15.92% |
| Benchmark | 12.84% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 22.97% |
| Benchmark | 17.82% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.65 |
| Benchmark | 0.63 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 3.08% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.46% |
Information Ratio
| 0.33 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 24.50% | 19.58% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.54 | 14.75 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,342 | $-4,143 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-7,096 | $-5,504 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.19 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 7.55 |
Skew
| -0.52 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1396 | 0.0095 | 0.1301 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8822 | 1.1696 | -0.2874 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0346 | 0.0426 | -0.0772 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.5196 | 0.6269 | -0.1073 |
| Market Factor | 1.2401 | 0.8544 | 0.3857 |
| Size Factor | 0.1359 | 0.0874 | 0.0485 |
| Style Factor | 0.0492 | 0.0087 | 0.0405 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.2118 | -0.1654 | -0.0464 |
| Yield Curve Factor | -0.0029 | 0.3264 | -0.3294 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.90 |
| Benchmark | 0.86 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | -0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |