1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (8y 7m 25d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 15.01% |
| Benchmark | 11.08% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 22.65% |
| Benchmark | 17.86% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.63 |
| Benchmark | 0.54 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 3.93% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.17% |
Information Ratio
| 0.43 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 24.07% | 19.59% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.49 | 14.69 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,268 | $-4,154 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-6,998 | $-5,519 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.17 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 8.26 |
Skew
| -0.49 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1560 | 0.0117 | 0.1444 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8935 | 1.1778 | -0.2842 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0369 | 0.0354 | -0.0723 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.4977 | 0.5817 | -0.0840 |
| Market Factor | 1.2342 | 0.8615 | 0.3727 |
| Size Factor | 0.1331 | 0.0933 | 0.0398 |
| Style Factor | 0.0553 | 0.0058 | 0.0495 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.1914 | -0.1741 | -0.0172 |
| Yield Curve Factor | 0.0051 | 0.3287 | -0.3236 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.92 |
| Benchmark | 0.87 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | -0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |