1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (8y 9m 28d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 16.68% |
| Benchmark | 12.02% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 22.57% |
| Benchmark | 17.81% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.69 |
| Benchmark | 0.59 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 4.67% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.14% |
Information Ratio
| 0.51 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 23.96% | 19.52% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.51 | 14.71 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,249 | $-4,143 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-6,973 | $-5,503 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.17 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 8.23 |
Skew
| -0.49 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1569 | 0.0103 | 0.1466 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8899 | 1.1796 | -0.2897 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0336 | 0.0378 | -0.0714 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.4974 | 0.5807 | -0.0833 |
| Market Factor | 1.2338 | 0.8637 | 0.3701 |
| Size Factor | 0.1351 | 0.0934 | 0.0417 |
| Style Factor | 0.0579 | 0.0087 | 0.0493 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.1916 | -0.1738 | -0.0177 |
| Yield Curve Factor | 0.0036 | 0.3288 | -0.3252 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.91 |
| Benchmark | 0.87 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | 0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |