1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Portfolio Specification

Portfolio Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (8y 6m 22d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio 15.76%
Benchmark 11.47%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 22.65%
Benchmark 17.89%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 0.66
Benchmark 0.56

Excess Return (annualized)

4.28%

Tracking Error (annualized)

9.14%

Information Ratio

0.47
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 24.09% 19.66%
Sortino Ratio 0.62 0.51
Calmar Ratio 0.37 0.28
Ulcer Index 14.48 14.68
Max Drawdown 40.24% 36.65%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-5,266 $-4,160
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-6,996 $-5,526
Beta to Benchmark 1.17 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

8.36

Skew

-0.50
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark Excess
Credit Factor 0.1559 0.0115 0.1444
Duration Factor 0.8982 1.1774 -0.2792
Emerging (Developed) Factor -0.0369 0.0350 -0.0719
Inflation Factor 0.5026 0.5825 -0.0799
Market Factor 1.2334 0.8607 0.3726
Size Factor 0.1273 0.0913 0.0361
Style Factor 0.0573 0.0065 0.0508
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.1857 -0.1720 -0.0137
Yield Curve Factor 0.0055 0.3287 -0.3232

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.92
Benchmark 0.87

Intercept

Portfolio 0.00
Benchmark -0.00

Factor Attribution