1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Specification

Benchmark
1.5x Global Equity

Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (8y 8d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio 13.09%
Benchmark 12.62%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 22.38%
Benchmark 27.54%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 0.56
Benchmark 0.49

Excess Return (annualized)

0.46%

Tracking Error (annualized)

14.40%

Information Ratio

0.03
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 23.91% 29.70%
Sortino Ratio 0.53 0.45
Calmar Ratio 0.31 0.27
Ulcer Index 14.40 14.48
Max Drawdown 40.24% 49.95%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-5,204 $-6,404
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-6,913 $-8,507
Beta to Benchmark 0.69 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

7.15

Skew

-0.65
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark
Credit Factor 0.1519 0.1519
Duration Factor 0.9102 0.9102
Emerging (Developed) Factor -0.0348 -0.0348
Inflation Factor 0.5014 0.5014
Market Factor 1.2286 1.2286
Size Factor 0.1306 0.1306
Style Factor 0.0602 0.0602
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.1663 -0.1663
Yield Curve Factor -0.0018 -0.0018

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.92
Benchmark 0.99

Intercept

Portfolio -0.00
Benchmark -0.00

Factor Attribution