1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (4m 21d)
Returns
| Portfolio | 21.20% |
| Benchmark | 14.97% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 18.32% |
| Benchmark | 13.94% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 2.56 |
| Benchmark | 2.35 |
Excess Return
| 6.24% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 7.73% |
Information Ratio
| 2.67 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 18.44% | 12.58% |
| Sortino Ratio | 2.54 | 2.60 |
| Calmar Ratio | 5.81 | 5.33 |
| Ulcer Index | 15.62 | 15.68 |
| Max Drawdown | 8.08% | 6.15% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-4,240 | $-3,226 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-5,632 | $-4,285 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.21 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 1.05 |
Skew
| -0.32 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | -0.2977 | -0.0257 | -0.2720 |
| Duration Factor | 0.3889 | 1.0822 | -0.6933 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | 0.1113 | 0.1566 | -0.0453 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.0705 | 0.5590 | -0.4885 |
| Market Factor | 1.3129 | 1.0962 | 0.2167 |
| Size Factor | 0.2530 | 0.0330 | 0.2200 |
| Style Factor | -0.0389 | 0.0402 | -0.0790 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.6896 | -0.3884 | -0.3012 |
| Yield Curve Factor | 0.0173 | 0.2428 | -0.2256 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.76 |
| Benchmark | 0.87 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | 0.00 |
| Benchmark | 0.00 |