1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (8y 10m 19d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 16.82% |
| Benchmark | 12.35% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 22.77% |
| Benchmark | 17.86% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.69 |
| Benchmark | 0.61 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 4.47% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.27% |
Information Ratio
| 0.48 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 24.25% | 19.59% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.51 | 14.71 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,296 | $-4,154 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-7,035 | $-5,518 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.18 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 8.09 |
Skew
| -0.53 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1480 | 0.0050 | 0.1430 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8873 | 1.1780 | -0.2907 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0322 | 0.0375 | -0.0696 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.5012 | 0.5840 | -0.0829 |
| Market Factor | 1.2386 | 0.8665 | 0.3721 |
| Size Factor | 0.1423 | 0.0969 | 0.0454 |
| Style Factor | 0.0524 | 0.0052 | 0.0472 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.2056 | -0.1813 | -0.0243 |
| Yield Curve Factor | 0.0070 | 0.3304 | -0.3234 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.91 |
| Benchmark | 0.86 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | 0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |