1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (8y 11m 10d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 16.77% |
| Benchmark | 12.61% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 22.78% |
| Benchmark | 17.84% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.69 |
| Benchmark | 0.62 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 4.15% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.29% |
Information Ratio
| 0.45 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 24.33% | 19.59% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.52 | 14.72 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,299 | $-4,149 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-7,039 | $-5,512 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.18 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 8.04 |
Skew
| -0.53 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1472 | 0.0061 | 0.1411 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8882 | 1.1784 | -0.2902 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0297 | 0.0384 | -0.0681 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.5057 | 0.5911 | -0.0854 |
| Market Factor | 1.2383 | 0.8645 | 0.3738 |
| Size Factor | 0.1410 | 0.0950 | 0.0460 |
| Style Factor | 0.0550 | 0.0058 | 0.0492 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.2053 | -0.1785 | -0.0268 |
| Yield Curve Factor | 0.0054 | 0.3292 | -0.3239 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.90 |
| Benchmark | 0.86 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | 0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |