1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (8y 8m 15d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 15.50% |
| Benchmark | 11.23% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 22.61% |
| Benchmark | 17.84% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.65 |
| Benchmark | 0.55 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 4.28% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.15% |
Information Ratio
| 0.47 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 24.02% | 19.56% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.49 | 14.69 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,259 | $-4,149 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-6,986 | $-5,512 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.17 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 8.27 |
Skew
| -0.49 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1568 | 0.0117 | 0.1451 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8925 | 1.1785 | -0.2859 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0356 | 0.0361 | -0.0718 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.4972 | 0.5821 | -0.0849 |
| Market Factor | 1.2341 | 0.8620 | 0.3721 |
| Size Factor | 0.1321 | 0.0923 | 0.0398 |
| Style Factor | 0.0550 | 0.0064 | 0.0486 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.1908 | -0.1737 | -0.0171 |
| Yield Curve Factor | 0.0057 | 0.3287 | -0.3230 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.92 |
| Benchmark | 0.87 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | -0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |