1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Portfolio Specification

Portfolio Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (8y 10m 19d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio 16.82%
Benchmark 12.35%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 22.77%
Benchmark 17.86%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 0.69
Benchmark 0.61

Excess Return (annualized)

4.47%

Tracking Error (annualized)

9.27%

Information Ratio

0.48
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 24.25% 19.59%
Sortino Ratio 0.65 0.55
Calmar Ratio 0.39 0.30
Ulcer Index 14.51 14.71
Max Drawdown 40.24% 36.65%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-5,296 $-4,154
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-7,035 $-5,518
Beta to Benchmark 1.18 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

8.09

Skew

-0.53
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark Excess
Credit Factor 0.1480 0.0050 0.1430
Duration Factor 0.8873 1.1780 -0.2907
Emerging (Developed) Factor -0.0322 0.0375 -0.0696
Inflation Factor 0.5012 0.5840 -0.0829
Market Factor 1.2386 0.8665 0.3721
Size Factor 0.1423 0.0969 0.0454
Style Factor 0.0524 0.0052 0.0472
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.2056 -0.1813 -0.0243
Yield Curve Factor 0.0070 0.3304 -0.3234

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.91
Benchmark 0.86

Intercept

Portfolio 0.00
Benchmark -0.00

Factor Attribution