1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio
Portfolio Specification
Assets
Policy
| Rebalancing Interval | Quarterly |
|---|---|
| Weights Algorithm | Constant Weights |
Benchmark
This portfolio is listed on the Community Portfolios page.
Portfolio Description
Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.
The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.
Policy Report
Backtest Report
From to (9y 2m 25d)
Returns (annualized)
| Portfolio | 16.72% |
| Benchmark | 13.54% |
Risk (annualized)
| Portfolio | 23.00% |
| Benchmark | 17.83% |
Sharpe (annualized)
| Portfolio | 0.68 |
| Benchmark | 0.66 |
Excess Return (annualized)
| 3.17% |
Tracking Error (annualized)
| 9.47% |
Information Ratio
| 0.33 |
| Statistic | Portfolio | Benchmark |
|---|---|---|
| Downside Volatility | 24.55% | 19.61% |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| Ulcer Index | 14.54 | 14.75 |
| Max Drawdown | 40.24% | 36.65% |
| VaR (99% Confidence) | $-5,348 | $-4,147 |
| VaR (99.9% Confidence) | $-7,105 | $-5,509 |
| Beta to Benchmark | 1.19 | N/A |
Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.
Growth Charts
Historical Weights
Return Distribution
Excess Kurtosis
| 7.60 |
Skew
| -0.52 |
Data Table
| Factor | Portfolio | Benchmark | Excess |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Factor | 0.1393 | 0.0097 | 0.1296 |
| Duration Factor | 0.8868 | 1.1742 | -0.2874 |
| Emerging (Developed) Factor | -0.0350 | 0.0388 | -0.0738 |
| Inflation Factor | 0.5130 | 0.6211 | -0.1081 |
| Market Factor | 1.2402 | 0.8544 | 0.3857 |
| Size Factor | 0.1366 | 0.0884 | 0.0482 |
| Style Factor | 0.0527 | 0.0104 | 0.0423 |
| U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) | -0.2052 | -0.1604 | -0.0448 |
| Yield Curve Factor | -0.0015 | 0.3266 | -0.3281 |
Adjusted R2
| Portfolio | 0.90 |
| Benchmark | 0.86 |
Intercept
| Portfolio | -0.00 |
| Benchmark | -0.00 |