1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Portfolio Specification

Portfolio Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (8y 3m 16d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio 14.00%
Benchmark 10.30%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 22.85%
Benchmark 18.02%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 0.59
Benchmark 0.51

Excess Return (annualized)

3.70%

Tracking Error (annualized)

9.24%

Information Ratio

0.40
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 24.33% 19.89%
Sortino Ratio 0.55 0.46
Calmar Ratio 0.33 0.25
Ulcer Index 14.43 14.64
Max Drawdown 40.24% 36.65%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-5,313 $-4,191
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-7,057 $-5,567
Beta to Benchmark 1.17 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

8.30

Skew

-0.49
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark
Credit Factor 0.1570 0.1570
Duration Factor 0.8961 0.8961
Emerging (Developed) Factor -0.0416 -0.0416
Inflation Factor 0.4969 0.4969
Market Factor 1.2339 1.2339
Size Factor 0.1298 0.1298
Style Factor 0.0580 0.0580
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.1841 -0.1841
Yield Curve Factor 0.0063 0.0063

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.92
Benchmark 0.87

Intercept

Portfolio -0.00
Benchmark -0.00

Factor Attribution