1.5x Equity Accumulation Portfolio

Portfolio Specification

Portfolio Description

Much of the research around accumulation suggest that an investor who is willing to utilize leverage would want ~1.5x exposure to equity. This data seems to assume an investor with a 100% equity portfolio. Therefore, I’ve built a more diversified portfolio that targets roughly a 1.5x beta to global equity and then allows a mean-variance optimizer to add diversifiers with the goal of maximizing diversification. Since equities tend to have low sensitivity to unexpected inflation over long time horizons, I added a constraint to keep the portfolio’s expected inflation beta greater than 0 to avoid taking on large amounts of inflation risk as the means for outperforming.

The result seems to be that we can achieve a similar return over the long-term to a 1.5x levered exposure to market-cap-weighted global equity, but with a lower max drawdown and standard deviation.

Policy Report

Backtest Report

From to (9y 3d)

Returns (annualized)

Portfolio 15.31%
Benchmark 12.04%

Risk (annualized)

Portfolio 22.84%
Benchmark 17.84%

Sharpe (annualized)

Portfolio 0.63
Benchmark 0.59

Excess Return (annualized)

3.27%

Tracking Error (annualized)

9.35%

Information Ratio

0.35
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark
Downside Volatility 24.45% 19.58%
Sortino Ratio 0.59 0.54
Calmar Ratio 0.36 0.29
Ulcer Index 14.52 14.72
Max Drawdown 40.24% 36.65%
VaR (99% Confidence) $-5,313 $-4,149
VaR (99.9% Confidence) $-7,058 $-5,511
Beta to Benchmark 1.18 N/A

Value at Risk (VaR) is calculated off a $10,000 portfolio value.

Growth Charts

Historical Weights

Return Distribution

Excess Kurtosis

7.90

Skew

-0.53
Data Table
Factor Coefficients
Factor Portfolio Benchmark Excess
Credit Factor 0.1430 0.0057 0.1373
Duration Factor 0.8881 1.1755 -0.2874
Emerging (Developed) Factor -0.0316 0.0365 -0.0681
Inflation Factor 0.5144 0.6047 -0.0904
Market Factor 1.2375 0.8600 0.3775
Size Factor 0.1384 0.0923 0.0461
Style Factor 0.0565 0.0089 0.0476
U.S. Tilt (Non U.S.) -0.2044 -0.1713 -0.0331
Yield Curve Factor 0.0014 0.3278 -0.3264

Adjusted R2

Portfolio 0.90
Benchmark 0.86

Intercept

Portfolio 0.00
Benchmark -0.00

Factor Attribution